Real estate is losing
sheen since the asset class has been giving poor returns in India for the past
few years
A majority of wealthy
Indians are likely to increase their asset allocation in financial investments,
including stocks, mutual funds and alternative investments. However, there will
be a decrease in percentage of people deploying money in traditional assets
like real estate. According to the tenth edition of Knight Frank’s Wealth
Report, released on Wednesday, only 41% and 22% of wealthy Indians plan to
invest in commercial and residential property, respectively, in the next 10
years, compared to 47% and 31% wealthy Indians who invested in commercial and
residential property, respectively, in the last 10 years.
The interest among
India’s rich in residential property in the past decade is much lower than the
global average of 54% and Asian average of 52%. The same holds true for the
next 10 years as well. But in terms of commercial property, the trend in India
matches the direction of the global average.
Others also acknowledge
the trend of wealthy Indians moving from physical assets to financial products.
For instance, according to the India Wealth Report, released on 23 December
2015 by Karvy Private Wealth, “Alternate assets and mutual funds categories are
expected to grow the most—44% and 29%, respectively—in the next five years.”
The shift can be pegged
to a large extent to the subdued growth in real estate sector for the past few
years. As a consequence, Indian investors are finding other asset classes more
attractive. However, it is also to be noted here that the average number of
residential properties owned by wealthy Indians is 4, which is higher than the
global average of 3.7 and 3.9 in other Asian countries.
The wealth survey
further stated that 72% wealthy Indians buy properties as an investment to sell
in the future, followed by 53% for diversification of portfolio and 38% for
additional rental income.
However,
with increase in the number of ultra high networth individuals (UHNIs),
“need-based demand for luxury property in India will increase,” said Amit
Goyal, founder and chief executive officer, global real estate adviser, North
India, Sotheby’s International Realty.
“However,
for investment, mid-segment properties will give better returns, compared to
luxury properties. But one should not expect historical returns of 16-18% in
the next decade. One may expect 12% internal rate of return,” Goyal added.
As far as
investment destinations are concerned, wealthy Indians’ first preference is
India for both residential and commercial property investments. Moreover,
according to the report, Bengaluru is among the top 20 cities globally for
investment according to its Prime Investment Residential Index (PIRI); Delhi
and Mumbai rank 44 and 51, respectively, in the list.
Apart
from investments in real estate and financial assets, changes in other avenues
have also been seen. According to the survey, buying fine art and antiques have
replaced watches; while jewellery continues to be the most preferred
collectible investment followed by cars and bikes.
More
Indian UHNIs are contributing towards philanthropy. In the past 10 years, while
78% of Indian wealthy made such contributions, in the next decade, 94% are
expected to do so. In both cases, the Indian average is more than the global
and Asian average in the report.
Prateek
Pant, executive director-products and services, RBS Private Banking, said,
“There is substantial increase in philanthropy activities among UHNIs. They are
now more serious about planning such strategy-based activities.”
Other
trends
It is
expected that India will account for 5% of the total UHNI population and 6% of
the billionaire population across the world by 2025. India ranks third in
absolute increase in UHNI populations over the next 10 years; after the US and
China.
In this
survey, those with net assets worth $30 million or more are considered UHNI. It
also stated that there are 6,020 such Indians, while the number of multi-millionaires
(net assets of $10 million or more) is 14,800. This net worth excludes primary
residence.
At
present, two Indian cities are among the 97 global cities with highest number
of UHNIs. Out of the 97, Mumbai and Delhi currently are ranked at 21 and 33,
respectively; slated to move up to ranks 14 and 29 by 2025. Currently, with
1,094 UHNIs, Mumbai leads in India followed by Delhi with 545. The next decade
will see the number in Mumbai increase to 2,243 and in Delhi to 1,128 UHNIs.
Even
though the number of UHNIs in India has increased, their top concerns over the
past decade and the next 10 years have remained the same. The biggest concern
regarding creation and prevention of wealth in India is succession and
inheritance. This is followed by tax and global economy.
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