This may come as a surprise to many
investors, but books contain knowledge and knowledge can be useful
What should an equity investor's
reading list be? That may sound like a strange question to many ears. After
all, it should be obvious that the only thing an equity investor needs to read
are websites, forums, and messages that give out tips on which stocks have
momentum. Maybe, some investors also like to read company financials, research
reports or even business news. But surely that's all. What else would an equity
investors need to know?
Well, according to a reading list
recommended by of one of the world's most successful investors, just about
anything but the above. The investor in picture is Charlie Munger, the partner
and deputy of Warren Buffett, and his list of recommended books have nothing of
investing, and not even much of business.
Munger's list mostly has books on
science, biographies, and history. In fact, the list is dominated by science
books. There's Jared Diamond's amazing book Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates
of Human Societies is typical, as is Richard Dawkins' The Selfish Gene, and Ice
Age: How a Change of Climate Made Us Human by John Gribbin.
There's a pattern to these kind of
books which go beyond a narrow topic. These are multidisciplinary books that
connect the dots across a wide swath of science, human history and society. Is
there a connection here to the way one needs to look at events and trends and
the kind of books that Munger recommends ? Cause and effect are never linear
and to know what will happen to businesses one has to connect trends from many
different fields.
The recent Volkswagen affair is an
interesting example. The linear response would be to say that Volkswagen is
going to have a bad time. However, a different picture might emerge when one
combines many disparate trends: Volkswagen, similar anomalies in almost all
diesel vehicles, how emission limits have changed, the way emission controls
work, Tesla and other electric cars, taxi-hailing apps, and self-driving
vehicles. Connect the dots and it suddenly looks possible that not just the
auto industry, but the way people use vehicles and the role they play in
society could be in for a deeply disruptive change over the next decade or two.
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