The 2008 crash
wasn’t just a market crumble. There are so many lessons you have to keep in
mind.
Maybe a
few predicted the crash but no one knew when it was going to happen.
Right
now, it’s impossible to tell when the next market crash is occur, but it
doesn’t hurt to look at past lessons as a reminder or what could happen.
So, in
view of the 2008 financial crisis, here are a few lessons to take from.
Expect the Unexpected
The
classic “expect the unexpected” is true for the market. Take measures to
prepare for the worst because the market reality can be worse that what you
imagined.
Too Much of a Good
Thing
Watch out
when there is too much of a good thing. Markets constantly rising? Loans
available to anyone? This environment creates a false sense of security and when
things fall back to the mean, it will trigger a crisis.
Control Risk First
Don’t try
to milk the last drop from your investments. Always consider risk and downside
first over potential returns.
Paying Less is Less
Risky
Risk
comes from the price you paid for the stock. It isn’t uncertainty or
volatility. When there is great uncertainty and it drives prices down, you buy
with less risk.
Financial Risk Models
are Useless
Market
risk models done by computers are a waste of time. Reality is impossible to
model. Human logic based on actual and real time facts is more accurate than boxed
formulas and numbers.
Don’t Invest for Short
Term Gains
Don’t be
tempted to invest for short term gain simply to earn something off cash that’s
doing nothing. This is a higher risk strategy which increases the likelihood of
losses and illiquidity precisely when the cash is needed.
Stock Price is Not an
Indicator
The stock
price is not the fair value of a stock. People mistake that the stock market is
completely efficient. During good and bad times, the stock price is not an
indicator.
Buy When Prices Go Down
Buy when
the price is going down. Volume is higher, there is less competition. It’s
better to be too early than too late. Don’t be afraid to buy things on sale.
Debt is Evil
Stay away
from all forms of leverage. Don’t assume a maturing loan can be rolled over
since you have no idea what the capital markets will do.
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